Thursday, June 03, 2004

More High-Quality Gribben Material

Doug Gribben posted more good information to the White Sox mailing list (he's good):

Sox weighted strength of schedule (that is, record of opponents in non-Sox
games weighted to the number of games the White Sox have played against them)
is .502. The Twin weighted SOS is .444. The White Sox have managed to build a
2-game lead despite playing a considerably more difficult schedule so far.

Did you know Billy Koch has "successfully" blown only two saves this year, and
that yesterday was the first time all year the Sox lost a game Billy had a save
opportunity in? I submit this, marked as Exhibit A in the Case Against Closers
Being All That Bloody Important.


Yes, this is a good point. But it's also the case that, quite frankly, the Sox have played very few games in which they've had a 1 or 2 run lead in the top/bottom of the ninth. Here's what they've had so far:

Total games: 51
1 Run Leads in 9th: 3
2 Run Leads in 9th: 3

So - the White Sox have only had 6 games where they were up by 1 or 2 runs in the 9th inning. That's 10% of the games so far. I'd submit that by the end of the season, this number will go up to 20-25%. And, in that case, the Sox's closer will by twice as important.

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