Monday, April 03, 2006
White Sox 10, Cleveland 4
A new feature this year (hopefully) on Black Betsy is ERV scoring for the White Sox games. ERV scoring is based on the expected runs a team will score over a game, and how a particular player has contributed to the effort (or not). Thus, for example, Jim Thome's 2 run home run last night was worth 1.76 expected runs, because Tad Iguchi gets some credit for getting on base as well. Similarly, Konerko gets -.06 runs for his sacrifice fly in the 3rd inning, because it took the Sox from a situation in which they would expect to score 1.41 runs, gave them 1 run, and left them in a situation in which they would expect to score 0.35 runs. Overall, it's essentially a wash for the Sox - a hit would have been better, but they were only a little worse for the wear taking the run and giving up the out. (If you follow it, Win Probability Scoring would likely say that Konerko's sacrific fly was a much bigger positive).
So here is my first draft of an ERV boxscore:
| Batter | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | 5th | 6th | 7th | 8th | 9th | B/R | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pods | -0.24 | -0.06 | -0.29 | -0.31 | -0.89 | ||||||
| Mackowiak | 0.13 | 0.13 | |||||||||
| Iguchi | -0.17 | 0.57 | -0.06 | 0.38 | -0.24 | 0.48 | |||||
| Thome | -0.11 | 0.37 | 1.76 | 0.57 | 2.59 | ||||||
| Cintron | -0.24 | -0.24 | |||||||||
| Konerko | -0.24 | -0.06 | -0.11 | -1.10 | -0.17 | -1.68 | |||||
| Dye | 0.27 | 0.14 | 0.38 | 0.87 | 0.24 | 1.90 | |||||
| Gload | -0.11 | -0.11 | |||||||||
| AJ | -0.31 | 0.26 | 0.76 | -0.24 | 0.47 | ||||||
| Crede | -0.24 | -0.75 | 0.33 | -0.44 | -1.10 | ||||||
| Uribe | 0.38 | 0.38 | -0.05 | -0.24 | 0.47 | ||||||
| Anderson | 1.14 | 0.57 | 1.13 | -0.17 | -0.01 | 2.67 |
| Pitcher | ERV |
|---|---|
| Buerhle | -0.93 |
| McCarthy | 1.55 |
| Politte | -0.72 |
| Thornton | 0.75 |
TEAM ERV= 1.19 (Peralta, Blake, Graves errors)
Notes: Anderson charged with getting doubled off of first on Podsednik's fly out in the 5th inning, for -0.24 ERV.
Player of the game: Brian Anderson
Game stories:
ESPN, MLB.com, Tribune, Sun-Times, Daily Southtown.
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